幸福魔方
昨天,两条不起眼的新闻,透露中美博弈大势_我的网站

一 |
据说,拜登政府最快在下周会对中国发动新一波贸易攻击:对中国电动汽车以及半导体、太阳能设备加征关税。 
A brigade from the Chinese People's Liberation Army's 76th Group Army conducts autonomous coordinated training with new 8x8 wheeled infantry fighting vehicles in the Gobi Desert. Photo: Screenshot from the military channel of CCTV NewsA video released by official media on Tuesday showcased the development of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA)'s latest wheeled infantry fighting vehicle (IFV). A military expert said that this new model represents comprehensive improvements in firepower, protection, mobility, informatization and ergonomics and it can now be considered to be entering mass deployment.
In the CCTV News footage, a brigade from the PLA Army's 76th Group Army was conducting autonomous coordinated training. Multiple new 8x8 wheeled IFVs were seen driving across the terrain, coordinating with troops to complete various tasks. The new 8x8 armored personnel carrier features an unmanned turret and anti-tank missiles, and its tailgate can be figured to open either sideways or downward.
In 2025, the company received new equipment. For the PLA soldiers, the challenge extended beyond changes in specialized skills to include upgrades in training models and combat concepts, said the report.
The new IFV is a deep redesign of the Type 08 wheeled armored vehicle family, with comprehensive improvements in firepower, protection, mobility, informatization and ergonomics, Zhang Junshe, a Chinese military affairs expert, told the Global Times.
According to a CCTV report in June, the vehicle has several new features: high mobility and speed suitable for all-domain operations; an unmanned turret offering wider visibility and higher automation, improved protection and crew safety; amphibious capability; long-range vehicle-mounted anti-tank missiles; and a flexible tailgate that can open either sideways or downward, combining both options in one design.
Compared with the Type 08, the new model has significantly enhanced firepower. It introduces an unmanned turret for the first time, improving survivability and freeing up interior space, while featuring a new-generation 30mm chain gun with adjustable firing rate. The anti-tank missiles have also been upgraded, enabling asymmetric strikes within enemy tank direct-fire range, Zhang said.
Protection has been comprehensively upgraded with thicker composite add-on armor, and structural improvements offer better resistance against mines and improvised explosive devices.
Mobility is also stronger, with better off-road climbing ability than the Type 08. Its informatized situational awareness and system integration capabilities are more advanced, and improved ergonomics enhance combat efficiency, said Zhang.
The vehicle has appeared multiple times in official media reports this year.Zhang said it is now entering mass deployment and may eventually replace the Type 08 as the core equipment of the PLA's medium combined brigades.
In January, CCTV reported on a coordinated tactical exercise involving an armored infantry squad from a brigade of the 76th Group Army, marking the vehicle's first public appearance.
Prior to its official debut, media outlets such as Hong Kong-based Ta Kung Wen Wei Media Group had analyzed the vehicle's capabilities based on online images, reporting that it features a remote-controlled weapon station, an unmanned turret, and four HJ-16 anti-tank missiles, delivering more powerful and precise firepower.
It adopts a hydraulic suspension system and incorporates signature-reduction measures to minimize infrared signatures, and can be fitted with composite armor to enhance protection and concealment.
Following a series-based, modular "vehicle family" development model, the vehicle's common chassis, in addition to the three existing variants, can be rapidly adapted into other configurations, comprehensively enhancing the medium brigade's combat effectiveness and long-range cross-regional mobility.
Compared with the current Type 08 wheeled armored vehicle family, these variants feature considerable differences in firepower configuration, chassis and hull layout, offering more flexible operational performance and superior protection, said Ta Kung Wen Wei.
Like the Type 08 family and the Type 11 Wheeled Assault Gun, the new IFV is expected to develop into multiple variants with different functions, forming a complete vehicle family.
Through this "one chassis, multiple variants, series-based development" approach, the new-generation will efficiently cover the full spectrum of combat elements - from command, reconnaissance and strike to support - significantly improving overall combat effectiveness and logistical support efficiency, Zhang added.
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In the CCTV News footage, a brigade from the PLA Army's 76th Group Army was conducting autonomous coordinated training. Multiple new 8x8 wheeled IFVs were seen driving across the terrain, coordinating with troops to complete various tasks. The new 8x8 armored personnel carrier features an unmanned turret and anti-tank missiles, and its tailgate can be figured to open either sideways or downward.
In 2025, the company received new equipment. For the PLA soldiers, the challenge extended beyond changes in specialized skills to include upgrades in training models and combat concepts, said the report.
The new IFV is a deep redesign of the Type 08 wheeled armored vehicle family, with comprehensive improvements in firepower, protection, mobility, informatization and ergonomics, Zhang Junshe, a Chinese military affairs expert, told the Global Times.
According to a CCTV report in June, the vehicle has several new features: high mobility and speed suitable for all-domain operations; an unmanned turret offering wider visibility and higher automation, improved protection and crew safety; amphibious capability; long-range vehicle-mounted anti-tank missiles; and a flexible tailgate that can open either sideways or downward, combining both options in one design.
Compared with the Type 08, the new model has significantly enhanced firepower. It introduces an unmanned turret for the first time, improving survivability and freeing up interior space, while featuring a new-generation 30mm chain gun with adjustable firing rate. The anti-tank missiles have also been upgraded, enabling asymmetric strikes within enemy tank direct-fire range, Zhang said.
Protection has been comprehensively upgraded with thicker composite add-on armor, and structural improvements offer better resistance against mines and improvised explosive devices.
Mobility is also stronger, with better off-road climbing ability than the Type 08. Its informatized situational awareness and system integration capabilities are more advanced, and improved ergonomics enhance combat efficiency, said Zhang.
The vehicle has appeared multiple times in official media reports this year.Zhang said it is now entering mass deployment and may eventually replace the Type 08 as the core equipment of the PLA's medium combined brigades.
In January, CCTV reported on a coordinated tactical exercise involving an armored infantry squad from a brigade of the 76th Group Army, marking the vehicle's first public appearance.
Prior to its official debut, media outlets such as Hong Kong-based Ta Kung Wen Wei Media Group had analyzed the vehicle's capabilities based on online images, reporting that it features a remote-controlled weapon station, an unmanned turret, and four HJ-16 anti-tank missiles, delivering more powerful and precise firepower.
It adopts a hydraulic suspension system and incorporates signature-reduction measures to minimize infrared signatures, and can be fitted with composite armor to enhance protection and concealment.
Following a series-based, modular "vehicle family" development model, the vehicle's common chassis, in addition to the three existing variants, can be rapidly adapted into other configurations, comprehensively enhancing the medium brigade's combat effectiveness and long-range cross-regional mobility.
Compared with the current Type 08 wheeled armored vehicle family, these variants feature considerable differences in firepower configuration, chassis and hull layout, offering more flexible operational performance and superior protection, said Ta Kung Wen Wei.
Like the Type 08 family and the Type 11 Wheeled Assault Gun, the new IFV is expected to develop into multiple variants with different functions, forming a complete vehicle family.
Through this "one chassis, multiple variants, series-based development" approach, the new-generation will efficiently cover the full spectrum of combat elements - from command, reconnaissance and strike to support - significantly improving overall combat effectiveness and logistical support efficiency, Zhang added.
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这次,中国官方公开批驳,也从侧面说明,这个事儿八九不离十。
不过,很多新闻是需要拼在一起看才有意思,也才能发现背后的真相。
在前天(5月9日),美国商务部又把37家中国高科技企业、研究机构列入贸易黑名单。
中国教育最高主管部门召开卓越工程师培养现场交流推进会,推进工程硕博人才培养改革。
根据报道,从2022年起,国家在30所高校增设了41个工程硕博士专业学位授权点,单列了近1.7万名硕博士计划和推免指标,高校联合中央企业建设了32个国家卓越工程师学院。
今天已经是五一假期后连续第6个工作日,我就简单聊聊这三个看似不相关的信息。

二 |
几年前,我在一篇文章里说过,早在奥巴马时代,美国就已经意识到产业“空心化”问题,想着吸引制造业回流。

三 |
2013年3月29日,当时还当着总统的奥巴马,跑到迈阿密港口发表演说,鼓励美国更广泛地使用“美国制造”。
演讲稿写得不错,奥巴马口才了得,氛围渲染得很好,但不想一阵风吹过来,刮走了原本盖在码头起重机上的美国星条旗,露出了美国制造最尴尬的现实:
起重机上赫然印着“振华”和ZPMC的中英文商标:标标准准的中国造。
白宫官员原本用美国国旗遮住了“振华”标志,就像奥巴马身后第二个起重机那样
特朗普,不像奥巴马那样斯文,他更加赤裸裸地针对中国。
在打压中国的同时,特朗普千方百计吸引制造业、高科技产业回流。
这里就有特朗普视为重要“战果”的项目:富士康美国工厂、台积电美国工厂。

四 |
当时,特朗普亲临富士康美国工厂奠基仪式,宣称是“世界奇迹”,但现在早已经烂尾。
当时,台积电已经把能想到的困难都想到了,把工期预定成4年,也就是今年投产。
要知道,在大陆,台积电南京工厂,从宣布建厂(2016年)到投产(2018年)只用了短短2年。
花了台湾地区四五倍的成本建工厂就不说,现在台积电在美国遇到的最大困难是:
一个是美国没有那么多工程师、熟练的产业工人,第二个是美国人完全不能接受加班。
全球有名的科技媒体Tomshardware有篇报道直白地写道:台积电不受美国员工欢迎。
说到这里,还有个事儿:这几年,时不时会传出美国波音飞机发生事故的消息。
像什么起飞过程中突然起火、半空里门塞脱落、轮胎掉了、降落时侧翻……
波音内部缺人,甚至有人前一刻在麦当劳端盘子,下一秒就摇身变成波音工程师。
工程师主要对应的STEM学科(科学、技术、工程、数学的简称),美国学生不愿意念,太辛苦,即便是念,毕业了也去搞咨询、金融等多金的行业。
在美国大学,念STEM学科的,中国、印度学生占了很大一部分。

五 |
有数据说,美国大学STEM专业的毕业生人数,每年在大约50万左右,而中国是470万。
波音飞机在半空中,轮子掉了 图片来源:央视新闻世界周刊节目
回头来看,中国卓越工程师培养,在这条不起眼新闻背后,其实是中美角力,最终天平所向的关键砝码。
而前段时间,拜登更有意思,他公开吓唬美国人说,中国电动汽车就是车轮上的智能手机,可以监视美国人……
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