白鹿原
特朗普竟向自家海军宣战,美媒愤怒说:他得了老年痴呆!,科普熊,原创 特朗普竟向自家海军宣战,美媒愤怒说:他得了老年痴呆!_我的网站

一 | "Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan is a symbolic move in the context of a war for geopolitical advantage," says Joseph Oliver Boyd-Barrett, a professor emeritus at Bowling Green State University. "Her critics, not unreasonably, decry it as a gesture that might carry very painful consequences for the world and for the human species.",Nancy Pelosi landed in Taipei on August 2 in defiance of Beijing's protests. The US House speaker had kept her trip to the island secret until the very last moment. However, the American and Taiwanese press extensively speculated about her visit with the White House signaling that there would be nothing "uncommon" if Pelosi decided to arrive in Taipei.,Prior to Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, President Biden held talks with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping and expressed his commitment to the "One China principle." In response, Xi Jinping warned the US president about the possible negative consequences of Pelosi's visit. Nonetheless, US National Security Council spokesman John Kirby stated on August 1 that the US "shouldn’t be intimidated by [China's] rhetoric or... potential actions.",The way, in which the White House handled Pelosi's controversial visit, "speaks volumes about the incompetence of the US government from top to bottom," believes US investigative journalist and author Daniel Lazare.,"Biden could have put a stop to this nonsense any time he wanted to," says Lazare. "He could have issued a public appeal not to go, which, if strong enough, would have essentially left the speaker with no choice. He could have taken away her military plane. He could have ordered the USS Ronald Reagan to reverse course in order to show that the last thing he wants is some sort of confrontation. But he did none of those things. Instead, he clung to the fiction that it was her call and that the Chinese have no right to get upset, which couldn't be more absurd.",US-China Tensions Over TaiwanSix F-15 Fighters and Three Tanker Aircraft 'Take Off From US Okinawa Base' as Pelosi Leaves Taiwan3 August, 09:49 GMT,Pelosi's Visit Inflicted Damage on US, Taiwan,Nancy Pelosi and the White House's snub of China's warnings won't give any boost to the US image, quite the contrary, warn the observers. According to Lazare, the latest incident is "going to undermine [the US] position all the more by (indicating) just how unreliable a world leader he really is.","[US] President [Joe] Biden, citing his own military, is said to have disapproved of the visit," explains Boyd-Barrett. "That he presents himself to the world as a leader who cannot reign in the country’s No. 3, or who lacks the authority to simply instruct the commanders of Pelosi’s military escorts to damn well turn back, with Pelosi inside a cage if needs be, seals his image as either hopelessly weak or shamefully complicit in some filthy maneuver. Either one of these is extremely unlikely to be to the advantage of anyone in the US who is not a part of the neocon cabal that dominates US foreign policy.",Make no mistake, China has perceived the House speaker's trip to Taiwan as a sheer provocation, the professor continued, adding that Beijing's position is "entirely understandable in the wake of many factors." These factors include Trump's tariff war with China; the US military encirclement of the People's Republic; Washington's Freedom of Navigation Operations in the South China Sea; as well as US "hostility to China’s [Belt-and-Road] global economic clout," according to the professor.,"To these bones of contention must now be added China’s ever-tightening relationship to Russia, its importance as an ally to Russia in opposition to NATO’s provoked war with Russia over Ukraine, and its role as an important sanctions-busting consumer of Russian oil and gas," he notes.,While the high-ranking US official's Taiwanese trip has already dealt a heavy blow to US-China relations, it may also backfire on Taiwan, warns the academic.,"Taiwan’s neoliberal elite may take some comfort in their close relations with the US and the military aid that it represents," says Boyd-Barrett. "Others will be more doubtful, especially those many Taiwanese whose prosperity depends on business and trade with the mainland. Mainland China is Taiwan’s largest export destination.",China has suspended natural sand exports to Taiwan and has blocked imports of Taiwanese citrus fruits, chilled white scallops and frozen mackerel in the wake of Pelosi's visit to Taipei, according to the South China Morning Post.,US-China Tensions Over Taiwan‘Those Who Offend China Will Be Punished’: Beijing Vows Sanctions Over Pelosi's Visit to Taiwan3 August, 07:02 GMT,Winners and Losers,While Washington is bragging of boosting its image as a global power in the aftermath of Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, China has scored a major victory, argues Huang Zonghao, a researcher at the Taiwan Research Center of Shanghai Jiao Tong University.,"China reacted very quickly and immediately announced the military drills," says Huang. "[These drills] differ from all previous exercises in their scale, as they have covered six areas around the island. In the past, most of the Chinese military aircraft in the Taiwan Air Defense Identification Zone flew in the northeast, southwest, or cruised with military aircraft and bypassed warships. Now we are using this opportunity to conduct comprehensive military exercises, and it is likely that we will use this as an excuse to conduct this kind of military exercises on a permanent basis.",According to Huang, after this type of drills and exercises become a norm, some military preparations can be made for the liberation of Taiwan in the future. The researcher stresses that, more importantly, the People's Liberation Army's recent drills symbolize that China's military power has very clearly extended to the western Pacific and even challenged the established US strategy in the region. "This is the most important result," says Huang.,The researcher notes that some netizens reacted very emotionally to Pelosi's landing in Taipei wondering as to why Beijing had not sent fighter jets to intercept and escort the House speaker's plane. "Personally, I don't think it was necessary," notes Huang, adding that this could have fanned an anti-China sentiment in the US while bringing no tangible fruits for Beijing.,"In fact, China's power projection has extended far beyond the strait and straight into the western Pacific," he emphasizes. "In terms of containing Taiwan's independence efforts, this is a big step forward. The pressure on the Taiwan Democratic Progressive Party will also increase."。 前阵子,美国《国会山报》登出一篇火气特别大的文章,标题就叫"特朗普为何要对美国海军宣战"。写文章的人叫克里斯·特鲁阿克斯,下笔一点没客气,直接怀疑这位总统脑子是不是不太清楚了,甚至用上了"痴呆"这个词。 要知道《国会山报》平时报道国会消息很稳当,能骂得这么狠,说明白宫和军方之间的矛盾已经藏不住了。事情的导火索,是2026年8月13日签署的一份国家安全备忘录。 特朗普给国防部下了任务,60天内交方案,从第四艘福特级航母CVN-81开始,把电磁弹射器全拆了,换回老式蒸汽弹射。先进武器升降机也要改回液压那套老东西。 他给出的理由很随意,就说电磁太复杂、不靠谱,还是蒸汽用着省心。听着像家里换燃气灶,可对象是一艘造价一百多亿美元的核动力航母。 麻烦就麻烦在,CVN-81早就开工了,船体分段陆陆续续进坞组装,配套的电磁弹射设备生产进度已经过半。承包商纽波特纽斯造船厂听到这个消息,估计当场就懵了。

二 | 换弹射系统可不是拧几颗螺丝那么简单。

三 | 弹射器背后连着供电、蒸汽管路、甲板结构、舰体重心,动一个环节,全船都得跟着改。 前面砸进去的钱多半打水漂,交付日期还得往后推。平心而论,福特级早期确实丢过美国海军的脸。

四 | 首舰福特号2017年交付后,电磁弹射器毛病一堆,武器升降机拖了好几年才装齐,五角大楼被国会骂过很多次。这些账都是真的。 可技术早期出问题,跟技术路线走错,根本是两码事。

五 | 哪套复杂系统上舰不是磕磕绊绊过来的?当年蒸汽弹射器刚服役那会儿,同样折腾了很久。 再说电磁弹射的好处也很实在。推力可以精细调节,重达三十多吨的舰载机能弹,几吨重的无人机也能弹得动。

六 | 这在未来有人机和无人机混合编队作战的方向下,作用很大。蒸汽弹射虽然成熟,可占地方大、维护累人,还得烧掉一大堆淡水制蒸汽,管路又粗又长。 福特号今年上半年做过舰载机快速出动测试,数据据说比尼米兹级同类科目还漂亮。

七 | 这时候拆掉电磁换蒸汽,等于开倒车。 假如是海军自己做完完整测试,得出蒸汽方案更合适的结论,那调整设计还说得过去。可这回推动整件事的动力,来自总统一个人的偏好,不是任何一份靠谱的技术评估。

八 | 这才是让美国军事记者们真正着急的地方。航母毕竟不是家里装修,总统看哪个顺眼就换哪个,几十年积累的工业经验说推翻就推翻,放哪个国家都不像话。 《国会山报》那篇檄文就是在这个背景下出炉的。特鲁阿克斯本人还是共和党圈子里的老资格律师,能说出总统"认知能力在下降"这种话,几乎等于隔空指着白宫鼻子骂。 能让共和党自己人都写出这种评论,白宫内部到底乱成什么样,外人多少能猜到几分。这也不是他一个人的看法,美国主流媒体近半年来对特朗普健康状况的质疑,一直没停过。 美媒的担心也不是无中生有。特朗普这段时间不光盯着弹射器,还嫌弃新型航母的舰岛"不够好看",希望未来舰艇恢复更传统的外形。 舰岛的位置、大小、形状,都是根据雷达反射面积、气流干扰、指挥视野一点点算出来的,不是画图时随手涂上去的花纹。总统对着一艘百亿美元的战舰谈审美,海军工程师们只能干瞪眼。 更让人无语的,是他前不久公开把霍尔木兹海峡叫成"美国领土"。稍微懂点地理的都知道,这条海峡夹在伊朗和阿曼中间,离美国本土隔着大半个地球。 眼下美伊关系正紧绷,德黑兰对美方在波斯湾的军事存在本来就非常敏感。

九 | 这种时候抛出这么一句话,等于给对手送把柄。 伊朗外交部当天就发了强硬回应,把这句话当新证据用了起来。比弹射器争议更棘手的,其实是海军眼下的真实处境。 "亚伯拉罕·林肯"号航母长期泡在中东海域,连续海上巡航超过250天,舰上五千多号水兵和陆战队员挤在铁盒子里过日子。有士兵反映,部分补给跟不上,新鲜食物少,不少人瘦了一圈,心理压力也大。 美国海军协会的内刊陆续登过相关采访,家属团体已经开始给国会写联名信。碰到这些报道,特朗普的回应更让基层寒心。 他公开讲,航母部署时长"远远不够长",还拿二战时期的水兵举例,说人家一漂就是好几年。这话一出来,社交媒体上骂声一片。

十 | 海军内部有军官匿名跟美媒吐槽,白宫压根儿没心思听水兵们到底遇到什么困难,光顾着摆姿态了。军心这玩意儿一旦散了,靠总统在网上喊口号是收不回来的。

十一 | 美国海军真正的病根,在造船厂产能萎缩、项目集体延期、成本层层失控,再加上海外任务摊得太多。福特级二号舰肯尼迪号的交付一拖再拖,弗吉尼亚级核潜艇一年造两艘的目标长期完不成,红海方向的护航消耗还让弹药库存吃紧。 白宫要真心疼海军,就该冲这些真问题下刀,而不是把精力花在换弹射器、改舰岛外形这种表面文章上。特鲁阿克斯那篇文章的收尾更狠。 他写道,总统一个人犯糊涂已经够糟糕,更可怕的是共和党上下没人敢站出来公开质疑,反而一个劲儿地配合这场瞎折腾。这句话戳中了华盛顿政治生态的痛点。 国会山上的共和党议员心里未必都同意,可初选压力和党内纪律压着,谁也不愿意先冒头。这种沉默,比总统本人的糊涂更让人担心。 从我们中国的角度看,这场闹剧也留下不少参考价值。武器装备发展有自己的节奏,一届政府的个人意志压过工程论证,代价就是几百亿美元和好几年时间白扔。 美国造船业眼下的困境,靠一份总统备忘录扭转不了。谁能沉下心把工业底子和技术积累做扎实,谁在下一轮大国较量里就能站得更稳。 文章登出去以后,华盛顿舆论场翻腾了好几天。五角大楼一直没正面表态,海军部长办公室只用一句"正在评估相关指示"打发过去。 60天期限到了之后,方案到底能不能真的落地,CVN-81这艘大船最后长什么样,就看接下来这两个月白宫、国防部和国会之间怎么掰扯了。摆在我们面前的,是一个超级大国在内耗中一道道裂开的口子返回,查看更多。
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