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“去依赖”正在发挥作用!德媒:8年来美国首超中国成为德国最大贸易伙伴_我的网站

翻译

一 |     

据悉,自默克尔执政时期中德贸易额连续数年实现“翻倍式增长”,中国在2016年正式超过美国成为德国第一大贸易伙伴,这在当时被德媒形容为“奇迹”。

二 | 因为从二战后苏联和美国分割东西德国,这两个国家就一直在美苏的“阴影”之下,美方控制德国经济的超过半个世纪之久。从默克尔上台决定和中国大力发展关系,仅过了十几年时间中德就成为最大贸易伙伴;德媒称成就建立在中国和德国地理上还非常遥远,这使得贸易关系的保持更具价值性。    Harvey Weinstein has broken his silence to vehemently deny allegations made by former model Kaja Sokola that he sexually assaulted her in 2002 when she was just 16.,“I know where I stand and how I am seen, nonetheless, it doesn't make every allegation against me true or factual,” Weinstein said in a statement to the Daily Mail through his representative.,“There is no truth to me having met this woman in 2002,” Weinstein stated.,“In response to the claims made by Ms. Sokola in her complaint, Mr. Weinstein categorically, and emphatically, has denied, and continues to deny, the allegations made against him,” Weinstein's attorney Imran H. Ansari told the outlet.,The disgraced movie mogul, currently behind bars at the Twin Towers Correctional Facility in Los Angeles, is serving a 23-year sentence after he was convicted in 2020 in New York for raping an actress in 2013 and sexually assaulting a production assistant at his apartment in 2006.,The ex-Hollywood producer is scheduled to go on trial on October 10 in Los Angeles where he faces 11 charges of rape and sexual assault from five women, which he denies.,Kaja Sokola has one of the last pending misconduct lawsuits against Harvey Weinstein, which she filed in 2019.,ViralBook: Harvey Weinstein Thought He Was Attractive Despite 'Deformed' Genitalia and 'Bad Hygiene'25 July, 08:05 GMT,‘Nobody's Untouchable’,Kaja Sokola, 35, currently working as a psychologist in her native Poland, was a teen model living in New York in September 2002 when she claims she met the 50-year-old Weinstein at an event hosted by her agency, NEXT Model Management. She alleged in her 2019 lawsuit that Weinstein's driver picked her up a few days later and dropped them off at his SoHo apartment. It was there that Weinstein allegedly forced the young girl to undress as he “grabbed at her breasts before ejaculating on the floor.”,Sokola claimed that the powerful producer had blocked her from trying to leave his flat and subsequently threatened to destroy her career.,“Harvey Weinstein made clear that refusing his sexual demands would mean giving up the opportunity to make it in Hollywood,” the suit claimed.,Convicted Rapist Harvey Weinstein Reprimanded After Prison Guards Discover Milk Duds in Cell 4 March, 01:03 GMT,The woman’s allegations were recently reiterated by her in an interview with Rolling Stone. She has also accused Walt Disney Company, which owned Weinstein's production company Miramax from 1993 to 2010, of failing to investigate his actions.,Sokola said in her interview she hopes to hold Weinstein accountable with her suit, adding, “Nobody's untouchable right now.”,She addressed the ex-mogul’s closest circle, asking:,“I would ask, 'Was it worth it?' Because there's no shadow of doubt in me that they knew… I am very curious if Harvey looks in the mirror and he still thinks, 'All these b***hes,' or if he has any kind of reconciliation of what he has done.”,After Weintein’s denial of accusations levelled by Sokola, her attorneys Douglas Wigdor and Kevin Mintzer released a statement to the Daily Mail, saying:,“Mr. Weinstein should focus his energies on his next multi-victim rape trial in California.”,‘It Never Happened’,Previous lawsuits pertaining to Weintein’s sexual misconduct allegations had been jointly settled in a deal involving accusers, unsecured creditors and former Weinstein Co. employees after the company filed for bankruptcy in March 2018 and sold off most of its assets. Claims dating from before that time have reached the statute of limitations.,However, Sokola filed her lawsuit under a 2019 New York law. In February 2019, New York State passed a “lookback window,” the Child Victims Act (CVA), extending the statute of limitations for survivors of child sexual abuse in criminal and civil cases in New York.,Weinstein's legal team is insisting that if their client had, indeed, met Sokola, it could not have been until 2005, when she was 19. This would have made her not eligible to sue under New York State’s Sexual Abuse Lookback Statutes.,“I understand the motivations of trying to use the statute for a civil suit, but it never happened,” Weinstein told the publication via his spokesman. Furthermore, his representative added that the film producer did not own the SoHo apartment described in Sokola's lawsuit until 2005.,Weinstein's attorney Imran H. Ansari has insisted there is enough evidence to prove that his client did not meet Sokola in 2002.,“Importantly, Mr. Weinstein strongly contends that Ms. Sokola’s allegation of being 16-years-old when she met him is incorrect,” he stated, adding that “a timeline of events, corroborated by other evidence, including witness testimony, will refute Ms. Sokola’s allegations of sexual abuse as a minor,” rendering her ineligible to sue under the Child Victims Act.。

然而在9日当天,德国统计局发布一份报告,上面显示1月至3月,德国与美国的进出口贸易总额总计680亿美元,这一数据已经高于中德进出口贸易总额约640亿美元,意味着美国在季度统计中首次“抢回”了第一名的位置。消息人士称这只是季度报告,如果德美在后续因为其他因素(如美国大选)受到影响的话,那么他们能否保持这一关系成为“年度第一”还不确定。

三 | 当然从现在的趋势来看,德国正在在和美国贸易额升高,和中国则是下降。

《柏林时报》和《镜报》等媒体引述德国经济研究所部门负责人马特斯的说法称,由于一些复杂的原因,现阶段德国似乎正在做出“重新定位”,从中国转向美国。

四 | 至于原因媒体推测和德国政府做出对华“去依赖化”有很大关系,德方虽然说“拒绝脱钩”但是在这一基础上刻意削减对中国的贸易额,缩小在原材料、化工、零件等领域的进口,使得贸易额下降。

五 | 再加上去年“中国战略”的出台,德国已经将长期逐渐缩减对中国的贸易当做一项基本政策了。

分析人士斯塔默则表示,比较乐观的是德国和中国贸易还有一项“结构性衰减”,即很多德企为了便利已经在中国开设分部,或是直接将生产线迁移、和中国合资生产,这部分贸易额不算在双边进出口资产中。“结构性衰减”是中德经济融合更紧密的例证,这也是好的趋势;但更应该看到的是德国“红绿灯”执政联盟对美国的靠拢,和对他们最大贸易伙伴中国的莫名仇视,无论怎么粉饰,德国政府所谓的“减少依赖”就是“脱钩”的一部分,只是他们还没有能力完全脱离罢了。

六 |

值得一提的还有,数据显示德国对美进口增长受到了俄乌冲突很大影响,德国当前的天然气非常依赖从美国海运,他们对美进口的粮食、精加工矿产、工业设备和农业产品也出现了明显的增长幅度,这些原来都是德国向俄罗斯进口的货物。对此有评论称:“德外长刚在澳大利亚扬言‘中国对南太平洋形成威胁’,还要将军舰开过来,这种情况下能期待中德贸易变好吗?现在不是一群务实的人在执政,而是一群政客在玩丑陋的政治把戏而已。”

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